Could the DSS technology have predicted the recent dengue fever outbreak in Brazil? The answer is yes! By using our technology and the findings in this article (https://lnkd.in/g4FyrGsM), we could have identified a timeframe of increased risk for this outbreak.Â
According to the study, dengue outbreaks (in Singapore) followed peaks in rainfall by about 12-20 weeks, when surface temperatures remain warm. Do these finding hold true for Brazil? Potentially.
Looking back at last summer's rainfall predictions for Brazil, we would have predicted much higher than normal rainfall for December 2023. Our prediction for March 2024 temperatures would have been about normal (warm).Â
If the timing of outbreaks in the linked article holds true for Brazil, the outbreak peak may be yet to come or have just recently peaked. This is a compelling Climate Security use case ripped from today's headlines.Â
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